mosleh_100.jpg Ali Mosleh, Ph.D.
Distinguished Professor
Evelyn Knight Chair in Engineering

of Thesis Guidance

Reliability engineering, physics of failure modeling and system life
prediction, resilient systems design, prognostics and health monitoring, hybrid
systems simulation, theories and techniques for risk and safety analysis


Dr. Ali Mosleh is Distinguished Professor
and holder of the Evelyn Knight Chair in Engineering at the University of
California in Los Angeles.  Prior to that he was the Nicole J. Kim Eminent
Professor of Engineering and Director of the Center for Risk and Reliability at
the University of Maryland. He was elected to the US National Academy of
Engineering in 2010, and is a Fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis, and the
American Nuclear Society, recipient of several scientific achievement awards,
and consultant and technical advisor to numerous national and international
organizations, including appointment by President George W. Bush to the U.S.
Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board, a position in which he continued to serve
in the administration of President Obama. He conducts research on
methods for probabilistic risk analysis and reliability of complex systems and
has made many contributions in diverse fields of theory and application. These
include risk and reliability of hybrid systems of hardware, human and software;
complex systems prognostics and health monitoring with limited information;
dynamic systems reliability; common cause failure analysis;
accident sequence precursor methodology; Bayesian methods
of inference with uncertain evidence; reliability growth prediction; methods
for software reliability and cyber security; cognitive models for human
performance in complex systems; and models of the influence of organizational
factors on system reliability and safety. On these topics he holds several patents,
and has edited, authored or co-authored over 450 publications including books,
guidebooks, and technical papers. In 2013 he received the American Nuclear
Society Tommy Thompson Award for his numerous contributions to improvement of
reactor safety. Dr. Mosleh has led many major studies on risk and safety of
complex systems such as space missions, nuclear power plants, commercial
aviation, communication networks, and healthcare systems. He has chaired or
organized numerous international technical conferences and is on the editorial
board of several technical journals.



PhD, Nuclear Science
and Engineering, University of California, Los Angeles, 1981

MS, Nuclear Science
and Engineering, University of California, Los Angeles, 1978

BS, Physics, Sharif University
of Technology, Tehran, Iran, 1975


§  Distinguished University Professor and Evelyn
Knight Chair in Engineering at Materials Science and Engineering Department, (March 1, 2014-Present), Joint Appointment with Electrical Engineering Department, University of
California, Los Angeles

Nicole J. Kim
Eminent Professor of Engineering (1996 – Feb 2014), Reliability Engineering Program (Mechanical Engineering Department),
and Nuclear
Engineering Program
(Materials Engineering
Department), University of Maryland

Associate Professor (1992-1996), Assistant Professor (1988-1991),
Materials & Nuclear Engineering Department, University of Maryland

Administrative Responsibilities

Director, Center for Risk and Reliability, Clark School of
Engineering, University of Maryland

Director (1998-2008), Reliability
Engineering Program, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of

Director (1992-1996) Nuclear Engineering Program, Materials & Nuclear Engineering
Department, University of Maryland.


Senior Consultant, PLG Inc. (Engineering Consulting Firm)

Positions and Responsibilities

Board Member, US Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board (Appointed
by President G.W. Bush, 2004 and 2008, continued under President Obama through

Advisory Committees and Review Panels

President Clinton’s Commission on Critical Infrastructure
Protection (1998-2000)

Board Member, Marine Board, Transportation Research Board of
National Academies (2010-present)

Advisory Board, Japan Nuclear Safety Institute (2012-present)

Advisory Board, (2012-present)

Review Board, The B. John Garrick Foundation for the Advancement of the Risk
Sciences (2001-present)

National Academies of Science and Engineering, numerous panels and
committees (2001-Present)

Civil Aviation Authority, Government of The Netherlands, Aviation
Safety Advisory Panel (2005-2009)

International Atomic Energy Agency (expert missions to various
countries, and member of numerous technical committees on risk, 1986-2004)

US Department of Defense, Neutralization of Chemical Weapons
(Advisory Panel 2002-2004)

NASA (Space Shuttle and International Space Station risk studies,

National Institute of Standards and Technology, Information
Security Risk (1989-1999)

National Science Foundation (Review Panels 1984-2004)

Electric Power Research Institute (Advisory and Technical Review
Panels, 1984-2004)

Nuclear Regulatory Commission (Expert Panels, Review Committees,

Board of Directors, Human Reliability
Society (2012-present)

Board of Directors, International
Association of Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (1994-2004)

Chair, Engineering Division, Society for Risk
Analysis (1995-2005)

Engineering Editor, International Journal
of Risk Analysis (2001-2005)

Editorial Boards: Reliability
Engineering and System Safety (1994-1999), Risk Analysis (1988-1998), Journal
of Risk and Reliability (2006-present)

Chair of the Executive Committee, Human Factors
Division of the American Nuclear Society, 1996-1998

Board of Directors, Item Software International, 2001-pesent

Board of Directors, Prediction Technologies Inc.,


Member, National Academy of Engineering (Elected,

Nicole J. Kim Eminent Professor of Engineering

Glenn L. Martin Institute Professor

Fellow, American
Nuclear Society (Elected 2013)

Fellow, Society for Risk Analysis
(Elected 1999)

§  Tommy Thompson
Award, American Nuclear Society (2013)

Gilbert White Fellow, Resources for the
Future (2010)

Evans- McElroy Award, IEEE Reliability
Society (2009)

Rotary National Award for Space
Achievement (1998)

NASA Flight Safety Award (1998)

§  Ford Quality Award, Ford Motor Company (1997)

P.K. McElroy Award, IEEE Reliability
Society (1995)

Numerous Best Paper Awards: American
Nuclear Society, European Nuclear Society, System Safety Society, IEEE
Reliability Society, Society for Risk Analyses, American Society of Mechanical
Engineers, International Conference on Nuclear Engineering


  • Simulation-Based
    Methods for Reliability and Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Complex
  • Hybrid
    Systems Risk and Reliability Analysis Methods (Identification of Failure Mechanisms
    and Reliability prediction of Hybrid Systems of Hardware, Software, and Human)
  • Bayesian
    Methods for System Health Monitoring and Sensor Placement (Solution
    Algorithms for Hybrid Dynamic Bayesian Belief Networks)
  • Bayesian
    Methods for Inference with Uncertain Evidence, Use of Expert Opinion, and Causal
    Modeling with Bayesian Belief Networks
  • Common
    Cause Failure Analysis (Reliability Models, Data Classification and

Risk-based oversight and inspection of Infrastructure Systems  (e.g. Civil Aviation Safety, Oil and Gas
Pipeline Integrity Management)

  • Methods
    for the Impact of Organizational Factors on Socio-technical Systems Risk
  • Human
    Reliability Analysis (Cognitive Modeling, Simulation, Experimental
  • Methods
    for Assessing Model Uncertainty and Model Validation (Framework and Application
    to Complex Computational Codes)
  • Risk-Informed
    Healthcare System Management

System Reliability Growth Tracking and Prediction Methods

  • Software
    Reliability Assessment Methodology
  • Information
    Systems Security Risk Management

Natural Hazards Risk Analysis (e.g., Seismic Events, Flooding)

  • Precursor
    Methodology for Risk Indicators and Early Warning Systems


§  Quantitative Risk Assessment System (U.S. Patent, 6223143-2001, issued 2001)

§  Automation of Common Cause Failure Modeling
and Quantification (U.S. Patent, 6820044-2004, issued 2004)

§  System and Methods for Assessing Risk
Using Hybrid Causal Logic (US Patent 7774293-2010, issued 2010)



(Led the design and development team)

  • IRIS
    (Integrated Risk Information System) developed
    for the US Federal Aviation Administration for risk-informed safety
    oversight, 2007.
  • SimPRA
    Based Probabilistic Risk Analysis System)
    developed for risk-based design of complex hybrid systems under a grand
    from NASA, 2005
  • QRAS
    Risk Analysis System) developed for NASA for Space
    Shuttle mission risk management, 1997, 2001, 2002, developed for NASA
    (currently a commercial software used by several government agencies and
    industries worldwide).
  • R-DAT
    (Reliability Data Analysis Tool) comprehensive
    Bayesian estimation software for hierarchical Bayesian analysis, expert
    opinion aggregation, uncertain data, 2005 (currently a commercial
    software used by governments agencies and industries worldwide).
  • ADS (Accident Dynamics
    Simulator, Versions 1, 2, 3 ) performs dynamic probabilistic risk
    assessment of technological systems, developed under grants from UMD, US
    Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Electric Power Research Institute, Ship
    Research Institute of Japan, Paul Scherrer Institute, Switzerland, 1993,
    2001, 2006, 2009, 2013.
  • BRAS
    (Bayesian Reliability Analysis System) for
    product reliability growth tracking and projection, 2005 (currently a commercial
    software used by several government agencies and industries worldwide).
  • ReDCAS (Reliability Data
    Collection and Analysis System) performs Bayesian
    reliability analysis based on design engineer judgment, developed for Ford
    Motor Company, 1996.
  • CCF (Common Cause
    Failure Software) performs classification and analysis of common
    cause failure events, developed with the Idaho National Laboratory for the
    U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 1995.
  • CCDAT (Common Cause
    Data Analysis Tool) developed for the Electric Power
    Research Institute, 1993.
  • BDSS (Bayesian Decision
    Support System) for computer security risk assessment and
    management, developed for OPA and PLG Inc., 1982.
    analysis of data, developed for PLG Inc., 1986


Over $31 M in
Research Grants and Contracts at University of Maryland, sponsored by
government agencies (e.g., NRC, EPA, NASA, FAA, NIST, NSF), and industry (e.g.,
Nuclear Utilities, Petrochemical Industry, Electric Power Research Institute,
Ford, General Electric, Lucent Technologies)



Degrees Completed:

PhD: 37 (University of Maryland), 3 (European Universities), 1 (China)

MS:  42 (University of Maryland), 3 (European


  1. Nsimah
    Joseph Ekanem, “A Model-Based Human Reliability Methodology, 2013
  2. Andrew Noel O’Connor, “A General Cause Based
    Methodology for Analysis of Dependent Failures in System Risk and
    Reliability Assessments,” 2013
  3. Yuandan
    Li, “Modeling and Simulation of Operator Knowledge-based Behavior”, 2013
  4. Mandana Azarkhil, “Dynamic
    Behavior of Operating Crews in Complex Systems: An Object-based Modeling
    and Simulation Approach,” 2013
  5. Seymour
    M. Mandelcorn, “An Exploratory Model of Motivation for Cyber-Attacks Drawn
    from General Crime Theories,” 2013
  6. Masoud
    Pourali, “A Bayesian Methodology for Sensor Placement and System  Health Monitoring,” 2012
  1. Danielle
    Chrun, “Model-based support for information technology security decision
    making,” 2011
  1. Chris
    Jackson, “Bayesian inference with overlapping data: Methodology and
    application to system reliability estimation and sensor placement
    optimization,” 2011
  1. Reza
    Kazemi-Tabriz, “A hybrid methodology for modeling risk of adverse events
    in complex healthcare settings,” 2011
  1. Arya
    Khoshkhou, “A framework for software reliability management based on the
    software development profile model,” 2011
  1. Clayton
    Smith, “Integrated scenario-based methodology for project risk
    management,” 2011
  1. Giancarlo
    Guenzi, “Reliability evaluation of common-cause failures and other
    interdependencies in large reconfigurable networks,” 2010
  1. Stephen
    Brown, “Development and validation of methodology for fix effectiveness
    projection during product development,” 2009
  1. Kevin
    Coyne, “A predictive model of nuclear power plant crew decision-making
    and performance in a dynamic simulation environment,” 2009
  1. Katrina
    Groth, “A data-informed model of performance shaping factors for use in
    human reliability analysis,” 2009
  1. Lesa
    Ross, “Methodology for detection and assessment of the impact of
    informal processes on organizational output,” 2009
  1. Calvin
    Shirazi, “Data-informed calibration and aggregation of expert opinion in
    a Bayesian framework,” 2009
  1. J.B.
    Hall,  “Methodology for evaluating
    reliability growth programs of discrete systems,” 2008
  1. Zahra
    Mohaghegh-Ahmadabadi, “On the theoretical foundations and principles of
    organizational safety risk analysis,” 2007
  1. Seyed
    Nejad-Hosseinian, “Automatic generation of generalized event sequence
    diagrams for guiding simulation based dynamic probabilistic risk
    assessment of complex systems,” 2007
  1. Mohammad
    Pourgol-Mohamad, “Integrated methodology for thermal-hydraulics
    uncertainty analysis (IMTHUA),” 2007
  1. Chengdong
    Wang, “Hybrid Causal Logic methodology for risk assessment,” 2007
  1. Yashika
    Forrester-Rahaman, “The quality of expert judgment: An interdisciplinary
    investigation,” 2005
  1. Yunwei
    Hu, “A guided simulation methodology for dynamic probabilistic risk
    assessment of complex systems,” 2005
  1. Andrew
    Jacopino, “Generalisation and Bayesian solution of the general renewal
    process for modeling the reliability effects of imperfect inspection and
    maintenance based on imprecise data,” 2005
  1. Dongfeng
    Zhu, “Integrating software behavior into dynamic probabilistic risk
    assessment,” 2005
  1. Zhibin
    Tan, “Methodology for analyzing reliability of X-ware systems,” 2001
  1. Frank
    Groen, “Inference with uncertain evidence,” 2000
  1. Y-H
    Chang, “Cognitive modeling and dynamic probabilistic simulation of
    operating crew response to complex system accident (ADS-IDACrew),” 1999
  1. Enrique
    Lopez Droguett, “Methodology for the treatment of model uncertainty,”
  1. Peter
    Rutledge, “An analysis of dependent failures in spacecraft: Root causes,
    coupling factors, defenses, and design implications,” 1997
  1. Tariq
    Shukri, “Implementation of a cognitive human reliability model in
    dynamic probabilistic risk assessment of a nuclear power plant
    (ADS-IDA),” 1997
  1. Eliezer
    Golfeiz, “An approach to modeling organizational factors for safety and
    performance assessment of nuclear power plants,” 1994
  1. S-H
    Shen, “IDA: A cognitive model of nuclear power plant operator response
    during abnormal conditions,” 1994
  1. K-S
    Hsueh, “An integrated simulation model for plant/operator behavior in
    accident conditions,” 1992
  1. Anil
    Macwan, “Methodology for analysis of operator errors of commission
    during nuclear power plant accidents with application to probabilistic
    risk assessment,” 1992
  1. Jeong
    H. Kim, “A Bayesian model for aggregating expert opinions,” 1991


Currently Supervising:

PhD: 1 (UCLA), 8 (University
of Maryland)

MS:  8 (University of Maryland)



Advanced Methods for Reliability Data Collection and Analysis,
Petrobras, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Sept 2012

Advanced Probabilistic Risk Assessment Methods, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute, Aug 2009

Advanced Methods for
Systems Reliability
, Korean Railroad
Research Institute, and Korean Aerospace University, Sept 2009

Probabilistic Risk Assessment Training, NASA, Dec 2000, April
2001, July 2002, July 2003, Oct 2005, Oct 2006, June 2008, Oct 2009

Dynamic PRA Methods, China National Defense University, China, Oct

Advanced Methods for
US Air Force, July 2007, US Navy, August 2007

Dynamic PRA Methods, NASA Ames Research
Center, July 2002

Data Analysis for Risk Applications, NASA Johnson Space Center, April 2002

Elicitation and Use of Expert Opinion in Risk Analysis, NASA Johnson Space Center, May 2002

Stochastic Processes
for Risk Applications
, NASA Johnson Space
Center, June, 2002

Methods of Elicitation and Use of Expert Opinion, USDA February 2002

Bayesian Reliability, Motorola, March 2000

Advanced Methods for Systems Reliability, Motorola,
January and June, 1999

Advanced Reliability Methods, U.S. Navy, October 1997

Methods for Safety Analysis of Nuclear Facilities, International
Atomic Energy Agency Short Course, Madrid, Spain, April 1993

Methods for the Analysis of Common Cause Failures, National
Technological University, August 1992

Dynamic PRA and Human Reliability, Institute for
Nuclear Energy Research, Taiwan, August 1991

Quality PSA: What a PSA Review Should Look For, International
Atomic Energy Agency Course on PRA, Vienna, Aug 1990

PRA Techniques, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, Dec. 1989.

Data Analysis and Common Cause Failure Modeling, Massachusetts
Institute of Technology, July 1989

Bayesian Methods in Data Analysis,  Electricite de France, Paris, France, March

Data Analysis and Common Cause Modeling,  Atomic Energy Commission, Taipei, Taiwan,
June 1988

Advanced Methods for Common Cause Failure Analysis, The Joint Research
Center, Commission of the European Communities, Italy, Nov. 1987

Computer Security Risk Analysis, Computer Security Institute, Chicago,
Nov. 1985


reliability, and system safety applications for various companies and
government agencies (e.g., Nuclear Unities, EPRI, National Laboratories,
Exxon-Mobil, Petrobras, Motorola, Lockheed Martin, ABS Consulting, AT&T,
International Atomic Energy Agency, Department of Defense, Nuclear Regulatory
Commission, Department of Energy, Federal Aviation Administration, NASA, Food
and Drug Administration)



Principal Organizer, Workshop Series on
Advanced Topics in Risk and Reliability Analysis.

Workshops Held:

Model Uncertainty In
Risk-Informed Decision Making Context, Annapolis, May 2009

§  Performance Shaping Factors and Context in Human Reliability
Analysis, Rockville, Maryland, February 2008

§  Dynamic PRA, Annapolis, Maryland, October 2007

§  Model Uncertainty: Characterization and Quantification, Annapolis,
Maryland, October 1993

§  Human Reliability Models: Theoretical and Practical Challenges,
Stockholm, Sweden, Aug. 1994

§  Environmental Risk Assessment: Current Status and Role in
Environmental Policy Making Seoul, Korea, Dec. 1994

§  Reliability Growth Modeling: Objectives, Expectations, and
Approaches, Lexington Park, Maryland, October 1995

§  Accident Sequence Precursors and Probabilistic Risk Assessment,
Madison, WI, July 1995

§  Advanced Methods for Human Reliability Analysis, Seattle WA, June,

Dynamic Systems Reliability,
Washington D.C., September 1998

Co-Chair, International Conference on
Quality, Reliability, Maintainability and Safety (ICQRMS 2011, Xi’an, China,
June 17-19, 2011.

Technical Program
Safety and Risk Analysis Division of ASME International Mechanical Engineering
Congress, Orlando, Nov. 2005

Technical Program
International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management,
PSAM-4, New York, Sept. 1998.

Co-Chair, NATO Advanced
Research Workshop, Reliability of Dynamic Systems, Turkey, August 1993.

Chair, 4th International
Computer Security Risk Modeling Workshop, University of Maryland, College Park,
August 6-8 1991.


Co-Organizer, Technical Coordinator, Program Committee:

International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and
Management (PASM):  PSAM 12, Helsinki,
June 2012, PSAM-10, Seattle, May 2010, PSAM-9, Hong Kong May 2008, PSAM-7,
Berlin, June 2004; PSAM-6, Puerto Rico, June 2002; PSAM-5, Osaka, Japan, Dec.,
2000; PSAM-III, Crete, Greece, June 1996; PSAM-II, San Diego, March 1994;
PSAM-I, Beverly Hills, Ca, Feb1991.

ANS/ENS International Conference on Probabilistic Safety
Assessment PSA ’10, PSA’96, PSA’99, PSA’02, PSA’05, PSA’08

Annual Conference of the Society for Risk Analysis, 1997, 1998,
2000, 2001, 2002, 2003

International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment, PSA’95,
Korea 1995

International Topical Meeting on Computer-Based Human Support
Systems: Technology, Methods, and Future, Philadelphia, June 1995.

Simulation Multi-Conference of the Society for Computer
Simulation, Virginia, March 1993.

Joint Conference of the International Symposium on Uncertainty
Modeling & Analysis (ISUMA) and the North American Fuzzy Information
Processing Society (NAFIPS), College Park, Maryland, 1995.

First International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and
Analysis, University of Maryland, College Park, Dec. 3-5, 1990.

Organized and chaired over 100 technical
sessions and panels in conferences on various topics in risk and reliability


Professional Societies

Society for Risk Analysis (Fellow)

American Nuclear Society (Fellow)

IEEE Society

Society of Reliability Engineering



Edited Volumes, Book Chapters, and Guest

Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, Volumes 1-4, A.
Mosleh and R. Bari (Eds.) Springer-Verlag, London 1998

Reliability and  Safety  Assessment of Dynamic Process Systems, T. Aldemir, N. Siu,
and A. Mosleh (Eds.) Springer-Verlag
Publishing, Berlin, 1994.

Editor of various proceedings of the International Workshop Series
on Advanced Topics in Risk and Reliability Analysis published and distributed
through Center for Risk and Reliability (CRR)

Model Uncertainty: Characterization and Quantification, A. Mosleh, N. Siu,
C. Smidts, and C. Liu (Eds.) CRR Publication, 1995.

Reliability Growth Modeling, A. Mosleh and K. Farquhar (Eds.) CRR Publication,

Environmental Risk
Assessment: Current Status and Role in Environmental Policy Making,
  N. Siu and C.K. Park
(Eds.), CRR
Publication 1996

Accident Sequence Precursors
and Probabilistic Risk Assessment
, V.M. Bier (Ed.) CRR Publication 1997

Advanced Methods for Human
Reliability Analysis
, H. Blackman, N. Siu, and
A. Mosleh, (Eds.) CRR Publication 1998

Dynamic Systems Reliability, C. Smidts (Ed), CRR Publication 1998

Third International Workshop
on Dynamic Systems Reliability, C. Smidts and T. Aldemir (Eds), CRR
Publication, 2013

Second International
Workshop on Model Uncertainty, A. Mosleh and J. Wood (Eds), CRR Publications,

Guest Editor: Reliability Engineering and System Safety,  Special Issue on Dependent Failure, Analysis,
34, 1991.

Bayesian Reliability Analysis, Encyclopedia of Electrical
, J. Webster (Ed), John
Wiley, 1998.

Estimation of Common Cause Failure
Model Parameters, in Common Cause Failure Analysis in Probabilistic Safety
, A. Amendola (Ed.), Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1989.

Guidebooks and Source Books

Common-Cause Failure
Database and Analysis System: Event Data Collection, Classification, and
NUREG/CR-6268, Revision 1. US Nuclear Regulatory Commission,
September 2007, with T.E. Wierman and D.

Guidebook for Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Space Missions, Writing Group,  NASA
April,  2002

Guidelines for the Analysis of Common Cause Failures in
Probabilistic Risk Studies
, Mosleh, A, and D. Rasmuson, NUREG-5780 U.S. Nuclear Regulatory
Commission, Oct. 1997.

Guidelines for Quantification of Common Cause Failure
, Mosleh, A., et al., Publication of the International Atomic
Energy Agency, Dec. 1997.

Procedures for Treating Common Cause Failures in Safety and
Reliability Studies,
  Mosleh A. et al, U.S.
Nuclear Regulatory Commission and Electric Power Research Institute,
NUREG/CR-4780,  and EPRI NP-5613. Volumes
1 and 2, 1988.

A Data Base for Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power
Vols. 1-7,  PLG-300, 1989.

Papers (Journals)

Mosleh, “PRA: A Perspective on Strengths, Current Limitations, and Possible
Improvements,” Invited Paper, Nuclear Engineering and Technology Special on
Lessons Learned from Fukushima NPP Accident, Journal of the Korean Nuclear
Society, Vol. 46 No.1, 2014

Pourali and A. Mosleh, “A Bayesian Approach to Sensor Placement Optimization
and System Reliability Monitoring,” Journal
of Risk and Reliability
, 2013 Volume 227 Issue 3, June 2013

Masoud Pourali and A. Mosleh,
“A Functional Sensor Placement Optimization Method for Power Systems
Health Monitoring”,  IEEE
Transactions on Industry Applications
, Vol 49, No 4, 2013.

James Chang, Dennis Bley, Lawrence Criscione, Barry Kirwan, Ali Mosleh, Todd
Madary, Rodney Nowell, Robert Richards, Emilie M. Roth, Scott Sieben, Antonios
Zoulis, “The SACADA Database for Human Reliability and Human Performance, Reliability
Engineering & System Safety
, 2013 DOI:

Lo´pez Droguett and Ali Mosleh, Bayesian Treatment of Model Uncertainty for
Partially Applicable Models, Risk Analysis, Vol. 34, No. 2,

C. and A. Mosleh, “Downwards Inference: Bayesian Analysis of Overlapping
Higher- Level Data Sets of Complex Binary-State On-Demand Systems,” Accepted
for Publication in Journal of Risk and
Reliability, 2013

C. Jackson and A.
Mosleh, Bayesian Inference
with Overlapping Data for Systems with Continuous Life Metrics Reliability
Engineering & System Safety
, 106(2012)

Enrique Lo´pez Droguett  and Ali Mosleh, “Integrated Treatment of Model
and Parameter Uncertainties Through a Bayesian Approach,” Journal of Risk and Reliability Volume 227 Issue 1, February 2013

Kazemi, R., Mosleh, A., “Improving
Default Risk Prediction Using Bayesian Model Uncertainty Technique,” Risk
, Vol
32, Issue 11, 2012.

M. Groth and Ali Mosleh. “A data-informed PIF hierarchy for model-based human
reliability Analysis,” Reliability
Engineering & System Safety
, 108:154-174, December 2012.